WRF Vertical profile at PN

 


 

Meteogram for PN

 

 


Nearest Ensemble Forecast

WRF uses GFS data at 0.25° resolution as initial and boundary conditions. This ensemble is from the nearest GFS grid location at 1° resolution. The dispersion of the ensembles gives an idea of the uncertianty in the boundary conditions data and indirectly on the reliability of the forecasts. There is not a direct linear relationship, rather an indication of probabilities.

The color lines are the GFS run, the shadow is the dispersion of the ensembles and the strong grey line is the median of the ensembles.

 


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